| Capital Source | Amount | % Total | Call Timing | Unit Price | Pref Return | Hold Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQUITY — INVESTOR SERIES | ||||||
| Series A1 — 36-Month Strategic Exit Maximum IRR, no QOZ required |
$30,000,000 | 30.0% | 60% close / 40% M+12 | $1.00 | 10% | 36 months (shortest) |
| Series A2 — QOZ 7-Year Tax Strategy Capital gains deferral + 15% step-up |
$25,000,000 | 25.0% | 60% close / 40% M+12 | $1.05 | 9% | 84 months (7 years) |
| Class C — QOZ 10-Year Maximum Benefit Zero tax on appreciation at Year 10 |
$25,000,000 | 25.0% | 60% close / 40% M+6 | $1.10 | 8% | 120 months (10 years) |
| Class D — QOZ + Perpetual Ground Lease Family office / institutional perpetual income |
$10,000,000 | 10.0% | 100% at close | $1.15 | 7% | 10 years + perpetual |
| Class D Supplier Partners — BurWil + Vendor Network Invest as equity + preferred construction vendors |
$18,000,000 | 18.0% | Staged M+0 → M+24 | $1.15 | 7% | 10 years + perpetual |
| TOTAL EQUITY RAISE | $108,000,000 | — | $100M base + $18M supplier overlay (100% absorbed into same use structure) | |||
| DEBT — CONSTRUCTION FINANCING | ||||||
| Bridge Loan — Acquisition Financing Refinanced or repaid by Month 18 from Phase 1 sales |
$25,000,000 | — | At close; 18-mo term | — | 10% | 18 months max |
| Construction Loan — Phase 1 Development 🔒 Gated by CCR recording Lender requires recorded CCRs + clean title |
$15,000,000 | — | Draw begins M+4 | — | 7.5% | 24 months |
| TOTAL ALL-IN CAPITAL (Equity + Debt) | $140,000,000 | — | ||||
| Use Category | Amount | % Total | Deploy Window | Gate Status | Notes & Dependencies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROPERTY ACQUISITION — $40,000,000 (40.0%) | |||||
| 363 Bankruptcy Purchase Price | $35,000,000 | 35.0% | Day 1 | ✓ Unlocked | Vests Declarant rights in Timbertop Land Company simultaneously |
| Closing Costs / Title Insurance / Legal | $2,500,000 | 2.5% | Day 1 | ✓ Unlocked | Includes governance legal team mobilization |
| Due Diligence — Environmental, Survey, Inspections | $1,000,000 | 1.0% | Pre-close | ✓ Complete | Required pre-close for CCR drafting accuracy |
| Transfer Taxes / Recording Fees | $500,000 | 0.5% | Day 1 | ✓ Unlocked | Includes CCR recording costs ($50K) |
| Initial Working Capital — Acquired Operations | $1,000,000 | 1.0% | Day 1 | ✓ Unlocked | Golf & marina operations bridge during governance transition |
| Acquisition Subtotal | $40,000,000 | 40.0% | |||
| DECLARANT GOVERNANCE ESTABLISHMENT — $4,500,000 (4.5%) CRITICAL PATH | |||||
| New CCR Drafting & Recording (Monroe + Loudon County) | $700,000 | 0.7% | Pre-close → Day 1 | ✦ Priority #1 | Must be ready to record simultaneously with deed at close |
| POA Entity Formation (TN Nonprofit, EIN, Accounts) | $350,000 | 0.35% | Pre → M+1 | ✦ Gate A | Enables assessment collection; management fee accrual begins |
| RBCAI Legacy Board Transition — Legal & Negotiation | $500,000 | 0.5% | Day 1 → M+2 | ✦ Priority #2 | Eliminates competing governance authority; #1 schedule risk. See Tab 10 — Case 20-489 (RBCAI authority challenged), Case 21-643 (Declarant dissolution suit), Case 19-943 (Chancery ruled rights lapsed 2017) — all active on appeal. |
| New DRB Constitution + Revised Architectural Guidelines | $250,000 | 0.25% | M+1 → M+2 | ✦ Gate B | Timbertop DRB majority; supersedes RBCAI DRB authority |
| TRDA Authority Registration (New DRB Recognition) | $150,000 | 0.15% | M+2 → M+3 | ✦ Gate B | TRDA permit intake opens under TGIF authority M+3 |
| Ground Lease Forms Recorded (Commercial + Amenity Parcels) | $400,000 | 0.4% | M+1 → M+3 | ✦ Gate C | 99-yr ground leases on golf, marina, beach club, commercial pads |
| QOZ Fund Compliance — QOZB Cert + 90-Day Safe Harbor | $600,000 | 0.6% | Pre → M+1 | ✦ Priority #1 | 90-day clock starts at close; Class C/D tax benefits depend on this |
| Supermajority CCR Defense Reserve (80% amendment threshold) | $400,000 | 0.4% | M+0 → M+6 | ✦ Ongoing | Protects perpetual Declarant structure from challenge |
| Governance Contingency | $150,000 | 0.15% | Reserve | Discretionary | Unforeseen regulatory friction in first 90 days |
| Governance Subtotal — Unlocks $95.5M Downstream | $4,500,000 | 4.5% | |||
| PHASE 1 DEVELOPMENT — $34,500,000 (34.5%) 🔒 GATED BY MONTH 3 GOVERNANCE | |||||
| Golf Course & Country Club Renovation Greens rebuild, bunker renovation, irrigation upgrade, 15,000 sf clubhouse interior renovation, expanded dining & pro shop, tennis/pickleball expansion (4 courts), fitness center equipment. No TVA, TRDA, or shoreline permits required — internal DRB approval only. Immediate revenue uplift and luxury market tone for all lot sales. | $8,200,000 | 8.2% | M+2 → M+10 | ✓ Low gate | No TVA/TRDA permits required. Internal DRB architectural approval only (M+2 per governance timeline). Begins immediately after governance. Cash flow improvement visible in Year 1 operations. |
| Northgate Entry & Town Center — Phase 1 Community gateway architecture, main entry monumentation, Northgate parcel grading & utilities to pad sites, Town Center Phase 1 foundation (commercial shell for clinic anchor + retail). First impression for every buyer — sets price psychology for all interior lots. Ground lease pads activated upon shell delivery. | $7,800,000 | 7.8% | M+3 → M+14 | 🔒 Gate B | TRDA/DRB building permits required (M+3 gate). No TVA shoreline involvement — entirely upland parcels. Commercial ground lease income begins upon tenant occupancy; target anchor tenant executed pre-close. |
| Resort Inn & Event Center — Site & Foundation 40–60 room boutique lakefront inn; event pavilion (weddings, corporate retreats, golf tournaments). Upland site — no TVA dock permits involved. BurWil as GC. Generates nightly revenue and resort credibility for lot sales. Drives buyer traffic independent of residential sales campaign. | $7,500,000 | 7.5% | M+4 → M+20 | 🔒 Gate B | TRDA building permit required after DRB authority (M+3). Upland parcel — no TVA shoreline permit. TN Dept of Tourism licensing. Target: soft open M+20, stabilized operations M+24. |
| Medical Clinic & Wellness Center 15,000 sf medical clinic on designated 17.5-acre healthcare parcel. Primary care, diagnostics, urgent care. Regional healthcare system as anchor ground lease tenant ($525K/yr). Independent of TVA/TRDA/marina permitting. TN Dept of Health licensing. Powerful buyer demand driver for 55+ active adult market segment. | $5,500,000 | 5.5% | M+3 → M+16 | 🔒 Gate B | DRB/TRDA permit M+3. TN Dept of Health plan review (60–90 day additional lead time; start plan review pre-close). Anchor healthcare tenant LOI recommended before groundbreaking. Ground lease income begins Year 2. |
| Independent Living — Phase 1 (Dignified Living) Phase 1 of 55-unit independent living building on designated 25-acre community activity park parcel. 20 units Phase 1. Accessible design, smart home, optional care services. Chris Magda's 80-unit assisted living background. No TVA/TRDA shoreline permits — entirely upland. TN Dept of Health licensing path well-established. | $5,500,000 | 5.5% | M+6 → M+22 | 🔒 Gate B | TN Health plan review + DRB/TRDA permits. Start design pre-close. Phase 1 (20 units) presales begin M+12; units close M+22. Pricing: $1,000K–$1,200K per unit. Remainder in Phase 2–3. |
| Phase 1 Subtotal | $34,500,000 | 34.5% | Note: TVA dock permits, marina expansion, and individual waterfront lot site work moved to Phase 2–3 pending TVA 820-ft contour approvals per lot and TRDA individual permit process. Waterfront lots can be sold as-is with ground lease; site prep deferred to buyer build phase. | ||
| WORKING CAPITAL & RESERVES — $15,000,000 (15.0%) | |||||
| Operating Reserves — Golf, Marina, G&A, Insurance | $6,000,000 | 6.0% | M+0 ongoing | ✓ Day 1 | Covers ops during governance transition; no POA revenue until CCRs live |
| Sales & Marketing — Property Campaign | $5,000,000 | 5.0% | M+4 → M+24 | 🔒 Gate C | Lot sales require recorded CCRs + compliant ground lease disclosure |
| Project Contingency | $4,000,000 | 4.0% | Reserve | Held until needed | Includes 3-month governance delay scenario buffer |
| Working Capital Subtotal | $15,000,000 | 15.0% | |||
| OFFERING COSTS — $6,000,000 (6.0%) Adjusted from $10.5M — $4.5M reallocated to Governance line | |||||
| Securities Counsel (PPM, Reg D, Blue Sky) | $1,300,000 | 1.3% | Pre → M+6 | ✓ Concurrent | Runs parallel to governance; no gate dependency |
| Accounting, Audit & QOZ Tax (non-governance) | $900,000 | 0.9% | Pre → M+12 | ✓ Concurrent | Ongoing audits; QOZ compliance separate under Governance line |
| Formation & Administration (non-governance) | $800,000 | 0.8% | Pre → M+3 | ✓ Concurrent | Delaware LLC, Operating Agreement; entity costs separate from POA formation |
| Technology, Investor Portal & CRM (GHL) | $1,000,000 | 1.0% | M+0 → M+3 | ✓ Priority | Must be live before first investor close; GHL webhook integration |
| Placement & Property Marketing | $2,000,000 | 2.0% | M+0 → M+12 | ~ Partial gate | Investor marketing launches M+0; property marketing launches after DRB confirmed |
| Offering Costs Subtotal | $6,000,000 | 6.0% | |||
| TOTAL USES OF PROCEEDS | $100,000,000 | 100% | |||
| Governance Action | Cost | Timing | Responsible | What It Unlocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft + finalize new CCRs for all acquired parcels | $700K | Pre-close | Real estate / HOA counsel | Foundation for everything. Without recorded CCRs, Timbertop has title but no governance authority over the community. |
| Record CCRs — Monroe & Loudon County registers | incl. | Day 1 | Title company at close | Legal basis for new POA, DRB, ground leases, and assessment revenue collection by Timbertop Land Company. |
| RBCAI board transition negotiation + agreement | $500K | Day 1 → M+2 | Mary Jensen + litigation counsel | Eliminates risk of legacy board issuing competing DRB approvals or contesting new CCRs. Highest single schedule risk. Three active legal cases (20-489, 21-643, 19-943) challenge RBCAI authority and Declarant rights — all on appeal. See Tab 10 — Legal Landscape. |
| Form new POA entity — TN nonprofit, EIN, bank accounts | $350K | Pre → M+1 | Tennessee counsel | POA begins collecting assessments. Timbertop Land Company management fee (15% of revenue) begins accruing. |
| Constitute new DRB — 3 Timbertop members, revised Guidelines | $250K | M+1 → M+2 | Timbertop + BurWil rep + counsel | DRB accepts plan submittals under TGIF authority. Supersedes RBCAI DRB. Protects luxury brand positioning for life of project. |
| TRDA registration — new Declarant/DRB recognized | $150K | M+2 → M+3 | DRB Chair + counsel | TRDA building permit intake opens under TGIF authority. Gate B complete. $15M construction loan draw authorized. |
| Record ground lease forms — all commercial + amenity parcels | $400K | M+1 → M+3 | Real estate counsel + title | 99-yr ground leases on golf, marina, beach club, commercial pads. Income stream legally protected. Gate C complete. |
| QOZ compliance — QOZB cert, Form 8996, 90-day safe harbor | $600K | Pre → M+1 | John Brock Esq + QOZ specialist | Class C/D investors' tax-free appreciation at Year 10 protected. 90-day clock starts at close — cannot be extended. |
| Legal defense reserve — 80% supermajority CCR protection | $400K | M+0 → M+6 | Litigation counsel on retainer | Defends perpetual Declarant CCR provisions from challenge. Protects $8.7M/yr perpetual income stream permanently. |
| Governance contingency | $150K | Reserve | Timbertop discretionary | Unforeseen regulatory friction. Preserves Month 3 target if minor complications arise. |
| TOTAL GOVERNANCE BUDGET | $4,500,000 | Pre → M+6 | Unlocks $95.5M in remaining capital deployment + all revenue streams | |
| Revenue Stream | 36-Mo Total | % Total | Start Date | Gate Req. | Key Assumptions & Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Residential Lot Sales | $324,500,000 | 51.1% | Month 13–15 | 🔒 Gate C | 26 waterfront lots @ $445K avg; ~64 water view @ $325K avg; 60 golf @ $300K; 80 wooded @ $225K. First sales require recorded CCRs + ground lease disclosure. Note: waterfront count corrected to 26 (not 50) per verified parcel records. | |
| 2. Completed Home Sales | $149,800,000 | 23.6% | Month 18+ | 🔒 Gate B | 165 spec homes over 36 months. $600K–$1.2M+ range. Builder facilitator model — TGIF does not carry vertical risk on custom homes. Construction requires DRB approval + TRDA permit. | |
| 3. Condominium Sales | $89,200,000 | 14.0% | Month 19+ | 🔒 Gate B | 50 units in 2 buildings. $850–$900/sf. The Pointe (waterfront): 30 units. The Bluffs (Phase 3): 20 units. Pre-sales begin after model homes open. DRB approval required for construction. | |
| 4. Marina Operations | $21,600,000 | 3.4% | Day 1 ✓ | No gate | 200-slip marina operational at close. $600K net Year 1 growing to $2.7M/yr. Slip rentals, fuel sales, storage, transient fees. No governance dependency — revenue from Day 1. | |
| 5. Golf Operations | $16,200,000 | 2.6% | Day 1 ✓ | No gate | 18-hole championship course operational at close. $450K net Year 1 growing. Memberships ($30K initiation + $350–450/mo), green fees, tournaments, F&B. Stabilizes as community grows. | |
| 6. Commercial Leases | $15,500,000 | 2.4% | Month 10+ | 🔒 Gate C | Marina District restaurant ($140K/yr), retail, marine supply. Village Center grocery ($192K/yr), professional offices, fitness/spa. Pad site sales: $6.9M. Ground leases recorded at Month 3. | |
| 7. POA Fee Revenue | $18,400,000 | 2.9% | Month 1+ | 🔒 Gate A | Assessment: $1,155/yr general + neighborhood surcharges. Bay Pointe: +$415/yr. One-time capital contributions: $15K/residential, $25K/commercial. Transfer fees (1% of sale price). DRB fees. Requires new CCRs to collect. | |
| TOTAL 36-MONTH REVENUE | $635,200,000 | 100% | ||||
| Waterfall Step | Amount | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Project Revenue | $635,200,000 | 7 revenue streams over 36-month base case period |
| Less: Total Project Costs | ($478,800,000) | Acquisition $40M + development $296.5M + operations $89.8M + marketing $27.5M + contingency $25M |
| Net Operating Income | $156,400,000 | |
| Step 1 — Preferred Returns (8–10% annually) | ($26,100,000) | A1: $6M (10% × $20M × 3yr) + A2: $10.8M + C: $7.2M + D: $2.1M. Priority order: A1 → A2 → C → D |
| Distributable Cash Flow | $130,300,000 | |
| Step 2 — Return of Capital | ($100,000,000) | All investor capital returned in priority order. Only $74.5M was deployed — $25.5M returned early from recycled capital. |
| Remaining Distributable Profits | $30,300,000 | |
| Step 3a — 70% to All Investors (pro rata) | $92,700,000 | Distributed pro rata across all series based on units held. Calculated on full $132.4M before Step 2 offset. |
| Step 3b — 30% Manager Promote | $39,700,000 | Sponsor carried interest. Timbertop Growth Investment Fund managing partner compensation. |
| Total Investor Distributions | $218,800,000 | $100M capital + $26.1M preferred + $92.7M profit share |
| Class D Only — Perpetual Ground Lease (Year 10+) | $8,700,000+/yr | 100% of ground lease and management fee income to Class D investors pro rata. No ongoing promote after Year 10. |
| Scenario | Revenue Adjustment | Lot Count | Governance | A1 IRR | Key Risk Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Optimistic | +10% on all prices | 26 WF + extras | M+3 on target | ~98% | Market upside, smooth governance, faster absorption velocity |
| 2. Base Case ◄ | Model as filed (corrected) | 26 WF confirmed lots | M+3 on target | 89.7% | Corrected lot inventory; 7-yr revenue $635.2M; waterfall as modeled |
| 3. Governance Delay (+3 Mo) ⚠ Must disclose in PPM risk factors |
−$18M (one quarter deferral) | 26 WF lots | M+6 completion | ~85–86% | All gated activities shift one quarter right; construction loan delayed to M+9; IRR impact ~3–4 pts. Most likely adverse scenario — currently not in sensitivity table. |
| 4. Pessimistic −20% prices, −20% absorption |
−$127M revenue | 100 lots total sold | M+3 | ~43.8% | Price reduction + slower sales velocity. Still strongly positive due to $80M instant equity cushion. Investor capital protected at all price points above cost basis. |
| 5. Combined Stress Pessimistic + governance delay |
−$145M revenue | 100 lots total sold | M+6 | ~35–38% | Worst plausible case combining price/absorption stress with maximum governance delay. Strongly positive returns. $80M equity cushion means Day 1 book value exceeds total investor capital invested. |
| # | Action Required | Owner | Target | Impact If Delayed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fix Lock-and-Leave mgmt fee formula (Years 5–7 showing 125–325% instead of 25%) Correction 8 above — $72M overstatement |
John Hartman, CIO | Before JLL | Excel model output not usable; cannot present to institutional investors |
| 2 | Fix IRR circular dependency — connect Waterfall to IRR Setup sheet Per Rarity_Bay_IRR_Guide.docx Sections 2.1–2.5 |
John Hartman, CIO | Before JLL | IRR calculations unreliable; XIRR output invalid; credibility risk with institutional investors |
| 3 | Update pro forma Revenue Sheet: correct lot count to 26 waterfront + 64 water-view at corrected pricing | Financial modeling team | Before JLL | Lot revenue overstatement flagged in due diligence; $9.43M discrepancy vs. verified parcel records |
| 4 | Add governance delay sensitivity scenario to PPM risk factors (Scenario 3, ~85% IRR) | Securities counsel + John Rock | Before PPM final | Material risk not disclosed; Reg D compliance issue; investor litigation exposure |
| 5 | Add TRDA building permit lag (60 days from M+3 governance) to PPM development timeline | Magda / legal team | Before PPM final | Silent schedule risk undisclosed to investors; Phase 1 milestones (golf reopening, Inn, Clinic, Town Center delivery) deferred |
| 6 | Engage bankruptcy counsel to confirm 363 sale order explicitly addresses legacy RBCAI CCR extinguishment | John Rock, Esq. | Before 363 bid | Governance transition risk unmitigated; RBCAI could claim competing authority post-close — #1 project risk |
| 7 | Finalize Landeaver lis pendens resolution — confirm no competing Declarant rights claims at close | Toney Cosey + legal | Before close | Competing Declarant claim would paralyze governance establishment at closing; deal integrity risk |
| Case | Filed | Parties | Core Issue | Status | Risk Level | 363 Resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19-943 | Unknown | RBP v. SPC, LLC | Declarant rights lapsed 2017 — Chancery Court ruling already entered | ON APPEAL with 21-643 | Highest | 363 free-and-clear order + new CCRs post-close bypass this ruling entirely |
| 21-643 | 10/4/22 | Hoban + 10 v. SPC & RBCAI | Dissolve Declarant rights — 11 residents seeking complete elimination | ON APPEAL with 19-943 | High | 363 bars plaintiffs from asserting claims against acquirer; fresh Declarant rights not subject to this suit |
| 20-489 | 4/24/19 | RBCAI v. RBP | RBCAI authority — 75% vote requirement; RBCAI appealing $447K loss | ON APPEAL (RBCAI appealing) | Moderate | Weakens RBCAI standing to challenge 363 or post-close transition; supports TGIF's governance argument |